:Product: 0602RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2015 Jun 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2015

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
02/0702Z from the northeast limb. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot
regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jun,
04 Jun, 05 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 374 km/s at
02/0305Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 02/0734Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 02/1609Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Jun, 04 Jun, 05
Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jun 101
Predicted   03 Jun-05 Jun 105/110/110
90 Day Mean        02 Jun 124

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun  009/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor Storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    10/10/10