:Product: 0613RSGA.txt :Issued: 2019 Jun 13 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 495 km/s at 13/2003Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 13/1903Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/2051Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun). III. Event probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 13 Jun 068 Predicted 14 Jun-16 Jun 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 13 Jun 072 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun 006/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 006/008-009/010-009/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor Storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/20/20 Minor Storm 20/25/30 Major-severe storm 25/20/25