:Product: 0709RSGA.txt :Issued: 2019 Jul 09 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul, 12 Jul). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 630 km/s at 09/2047Z. Total IMF reached 21 nT at 08/2215Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 09/1846Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled levels on day one (10 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul). III. Event probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 09 Jul 068 Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 09 Jul 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 007/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 013/018 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 011/012-007/008-006/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 25/20/10 Minor Storm 10/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 25/25/20 Major-severe storm 40/30/15