:Product: 0725RSGA.txt :Issued: 2019 Jul 25 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 206 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jul 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 389 km/s at 25/0313Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 24/2110Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 25/1232Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul). III. Event probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 25 Jul 068 Predicted 26 Jul-28 Jul 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 25 Jul 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jul 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jul 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 007/008-007/008-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 20/20/25 Major-severe storm 15/15/20