:Product: 0802RSGA.txt :Issued: 2019 Aug 02 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 02/0742Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Aug), quiet to active levels on day two (04 Aug) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (05 Aug). III. Event probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 Aug 067 Predicted 03 Aug-05 Aug 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 02 Aug 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug 008/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Aug 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug 006/005-011/012-018/025 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/15/35 Minor Storm 01/05/15 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/10 Minor Storm 20/30/30 Major-severe storm 10/25/55