:Product: 0803RSGA.txt :Issued: 2019 Aug 03 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Aug 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (04 Aug, 05 Aug, 06 Aug). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 408 km/s at 03/0107Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Aug), unsettled to minor storm levels on day two (05 Aug) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (06 Aug). III. Event probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 Aug 066 Predicted 04 Aug-06 Aug 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 03 Aug 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 Aug 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Aug 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 011/012-018/025-015/020 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/35/30 Minor Storm 05/15/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/15 Minor Storm 30/30/30 Major-severe storm 25/55/45