:Product: 0528RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 May 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 149 Issued at 2200Z on 28 May 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (29 May, 30 May, 31 May).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 317 km/s at 28/1058Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
28/1946Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
28/1225Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 197 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (29 May,
30 May, 31 May).

III.  Event probabilities 29 May-31 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           28 May 068
Predicted   29 May-31 May 069/070/070
90 Day Mean        28 May 070

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 May  006/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 May  004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 May-31 May  008/008-008/008-009/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 May-31 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           25/25/25
Major-severe storm    20/20/20