:Product: 0627RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jun 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 179 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jun 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to
27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (28 Jun, 29 Jun, 30 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 415 km/s at 27/1937Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 27/1015Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
26/2233Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 198 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (28 Jun,
29 Jun, 30 Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 28 Jun-30 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           27 Jun 069
Predicted   28 Jun-30 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean        27 Jun 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jun  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Jun  006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun  009/008-007/006-008/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jun-30 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/15
Minor Storm           05/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/15
Minor Storm           25/25/25
Major-severe storm    20/15/20