:Product: 0629RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jun 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (30 Jun, 01 Jul, 02 Jul).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 363 km/s at 29/0121Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 214 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Jun, 01 Jul)
and quiet levels on day three (02 Jul).

III.  Event probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Jun 069
Predicted   30 Jun-02 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean        29 Jun 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jun  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  008/008-008/008-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/05
Minor Storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           25/25/15
Major-severe storm    20/20/10