:Product: 0606RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jun 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 157 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jun 2022

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Jun,
08 Jun, 09 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 327 km/s at 06/1910Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 06/1349Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at
06/0939Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1060 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (07 Jun, 08 Jun, 09
Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Jun 096
Predicted   07 Jun-09 Jun 095/095/095
90 Day Mean        06 Jun 127

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jun  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jun  009/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    10/10/10