:Product: 0607RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2022

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (08
Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 342 km/s at 07/0801Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 07/0045Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
07/0312Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 266 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10
Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Jun 101
Predicted   08 Jun-10 Jun 100/100/105
90 Day Mean        07 Jun 127

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun  010/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jun  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    10/10/10