:Product: 0701RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jul 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2022

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Jul,
03 Jul, 04 Jul).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 366 km/s at 01/1151Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
01/2030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
01/2007Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 6971 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04
Jul).

III.  Event probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Jul 098
Predicted   02 Jul-04 Jul 100/102/108
90 Day Mean        01 Jul 126

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun  005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    10/10/10