:Product: 0423RSGA.txt :Issued: 2025 Apr 23 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 113 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Apr 2025 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Apr, 25 Apr, 26 Apr). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 612 km/s at 22/2220Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 23/1955Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 23/0919Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 690 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (24 Apr, 25 Apr) and quiet levels on day three (26 Apr). III. Event probabilities 24 Apr-26 Apr Class M 40/40/40 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 23 Apr 167 Predicted 24 Apr-26 Apr 160/165/165 90 Day Mean 23 Apr 172 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 22 Apr 013/ NA Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Apr 015/017 Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Apr-26 Apr 014/018-010/012-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Apr-26 Apr A. Middle Latitudes Active 30/30/15 Minor Storm 15/15/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 30/30/25 Major-severe storm 45/45/25