:Product: 0425RSGA.txt :Issued: 2025 Apr 25 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 115 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2025 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Apr, 27 Apr, 28 Apr). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 593 km/s at 25/0334Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 24/2115Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 24/2113Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 718 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (26 Apr), quiet to active levels on day two (27 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (28 Apr). III. Event probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr Class M 40/40/40 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 25 Apr 164 Predicted 26 Apr-28 Apr 170/170/165 90 Day Mean 25 Apr 171 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr 014/013 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Apr 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr 007/008-013/015-010/012 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/35/30 Minor Storm 05/15/15 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 25/30/30 Major-severe storm 25/50/45