:Product: 0701RSGA.txt :Issued: 2025 Jul 01 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2025 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 873 km/s at 01/0729Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/2334Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 30/2223Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3574 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (02 Jul), quiet to minor storm levels on day two (03 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (04 Jul). III. Event probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul Class M 20/15/15 Class X 05/01/01 Proton 05/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Jul 126 Predicted 02 Jul-04 Jul 128/128/130 90 Day Mean 01 Jul 142 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun 011/ 009 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul 009/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 023/032-015/020-010/012 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 35/40/35 Minor Storm 30/25/15 Major-severe storm 15/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/10/10 Minor Storm 20/20/25 Major-severe storm 70/65/50