:Product: 0703RSGA.txt :Issued: 2025 Jul 03 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2025 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul, 06 Jul). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 411 km/s at 03/1025Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 03/0908Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 03/1220Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1219 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul). III. Event probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul Class M 20/20/20 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 Jul 125 Predicted 04 Jul-06 Jul 130/132/135 90 Day Mean 03 Jul 141 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul 008/014 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul 014/018 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 011/012-009/010-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 35/20/15 Minor Storm 15/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/15/20 Minor Storm 25/30/25 Major-severe storm 50/25/20