:Product: 0707RSGA.txt :Issued: 2025 Jul 07 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2025 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (08 Jul, 09 Jul, 10 Jul). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 664 km/s at 07/2054Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 07/0211Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 06/2222Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 269 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (08 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul). III. Event probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 07 Jul 118 Predicted 08 Jul-10 Jul 113/111/110 90 Day Mean 07 Jul 139 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul 020/ NA Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul 018/021 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 008/008-006/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor Storm 05/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/20/20 Minor Storm 25/20/20 Major-severe storm 25/10/10