:Product: 0302RSGA.txt :Issued: 2026 Mar 02 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 61 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2026 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Mar, 04 Mar, 05 Mar). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 380 km/s at 01/2111Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 02/0349Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 02/1137Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 14495 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (03 Mar, 04 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (05 Mar). III. Event probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar Class M 30/30/30 Class X 05/05/05 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 Mar 148 Predicted 03 Mar-05 Mar 150/150/152 90 Day Mean 02 Mar 148 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar 007/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Mar 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 009/004-009/004-007/003 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar A. Middle Latitudes Active 30/30/15 Minor Storm 05/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 30/30/25 Major-severe storm 35/35/20