Solar activity has slightly increased since the last message.
NOAA 14048 (S15E59) remained the most flare-productive
region in the period, producing over ten C-class flares and
five low M-class flares, including the largest—an M1.6 at
16:27 yesterday. This region has developed into a beta-gamma
configuration with increases in both spot area and number.
14048 is undergoing significant magnetic flux emergence in
its intermediate portion. Today, the Major Flare Watch shall
switch to this region. Yesterday's target NOAA 14046 (N05E39)
has also increased in magnetic complexity to a beta-gamma
configuration and produced a C7.6 flare in the period. Further
low M-class activity is expected from the target region and also
from NOAA 14046, with a chance of an above M5 flare in the
next few days.