MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Max Millennium Chief Observer mmchiefobserver at gmail.com
Wed May 11 11:44:30 MDT 2022


MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Dear Collaborators,

Primary target region NOAA 3006 (D-type/beta-gamma,
S30W16, X= 227, Y= -433") has decayed significantly
especially within its magnetic delta configuration.
3006 was the source of 7 C-class events in the past 24
hours.  The largest was a C4.9 at 05/11/13:26 UT.
 A major flare =>M5 is now less likely.  The target will
switch back to NOAA 3007 (E-type/beta-gamma).
3007 increased its spot count, spot area, and magnetic
complexity with mixed polarities and a possible delta
configuration developing within its intermediate portion.
3007 produced 10 C-class events since the last message.
The largest was a C8.6 at 05/11/15:45 UT.  It also just
produced  an M1.6 event at 05/11/16:49.  We will continue
the MFW today.  An isolated major event =>M5 is possible
in the next 24 hour period.

The position of NOAA  3007 on May 11 at 14:45 UT is:
S24E37 (Solar X = -524", Solar Y = -350")

See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.

Regards,

Bill Marquette (Helio Research)


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