MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Max Millennium Chief Observer mmchiefobserver at gmail.com
Thu May 12 11:37:50 MDT 2022


MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Dear Collaborators,

Target region NOAA 3007 (E-type/beta-gamma-delta)
increased its spot area, spot count and magnetic complexity
within its intermediate and trailing portions since the last
message.  A strong magnetic delta configuration developed
yesterday but has since weaken.  3007 was the source of
only minor C-class events in the past 24 hours.  The largest
was a C4.3 at 05/11/22:41 UT.  We will continue the MFW
on 3007 for at least one more day.  M-class events possible
with the chance of a major =>M5 flare in the next 24 hour
period.  The most noteworthy solar flare activity was three
limb occulted M-class events yesterday.  The largest was
an M2.7 at 05/11/18:58.  The source region was most
likely old NOAA 3004 located beyond the southwestern
limb.  A region just starting northeastern limb passage
produced a C7.6 event at 05/11/21:18 UT.  The region
is in the location of the return of NOAA regions
2993 and 2994.  A region located at S12E89 was the
source of a C8.4 event at 05/12/02:24 UT.  One of these
eastern regions might become the new target tomorrow.

The position of NOAA 3007 on May 12 at 14:00 UT is:
S24E25 (Solar X = -368", Solar Y = -346")

See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.

Regards,

Bill Marquette (Helio Research)


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