MMmotd December 2014

mmmotd@solar.physics.montana.edu

1 participants
27 discussions

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 21 Dec '14

21 Dec '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2242 was the source of numerous C-class events and an M1.2 event at 12/21/07:32 UT. NOAA 2241 (S11W31) was the source of an M1.0 event at 12/21/12:17 UT. Both 2241 and 2242 are currently decaying but are maintaining somewhat complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configurations. We will continue the Major Flare Watch on target region 2242 for the next 24 hours. 2241 and 2242 continue to have the potential to produce another M-class event. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 21 at 16:30 UT is: S19W54 (Solar X = 747", Solar Y = -301") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 20 Dec '14

20 Dec '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region, NOAA 2242, was the source of an X1.8/3b event at 12/20/00:27 UT. 2242 is maintaining its large complex E-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot group and bright dynamic H-alpha plage. NOAA 2241, S09W16, is also an E-type/beta-gamma-delta region but has been quiescent since the M6.9 event on 12/18. 2242 has the potential to produce another major flare in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 20 at 16:30 UT is: S18W39 (Solar X = 585", Solar Y = -282") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 19 Dec '14

19 Dec '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, The largest x-ray event in the past 24 hours was an isolated M6.9 at 12/18/21:58 UT produced by NOAA 2241 (S09W06). Target region, NOAA 2242 was the source of several C-class events and an M1.3 event at 12/19/09:44 UT. Both regions remain large and magnetically complex with E-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot groups and 2242 has bright dynamic H-alpha plage. Both regions have the potential to produce a major flare. We will continue to stay with target region 2242 for at least the next 24 hour period. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 19 at 16:30 UT is: S18W26 (Solar X = 408", Solar Y = -280") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 18 Dec '14

18 Dec '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2242 is maintaining its E-type/beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration with a complex E-W inversion line. 2242 has only managed to produce C-class activity since the major M8.7 event on the 17th. NOAA region 2241, S10E12, is also a complex E-type/beta-gamma-delta region with an E-W magnetic inversion line. Both regions have the potential to produce a major flare in the next 24 to 48 hours but 2242 will continue to be the target region. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 18 at 12:30 UT is: S18E12 (Solar X = 129", Solar Y = -281") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 17 Dec '14

17 Dec '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region, NOAA 2242, produced an M8.7 event at 12/17/04:50 UT. 2242 has significantly increased its sunspot count and area since the last message and continues to maintain its complex E-W magnetic inversion line. At this time we are implementing Max Millennium observing plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce A Major Flare). Another major flare =/>M5 is likely in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 17 at 12:30 UT is: S19E04 (Solar X = -064", Solar Y = -299") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 16 Dec '14

16 Dec '14

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2242 was again the source of several C-class events in the past 24 hours. 2242 is maintaining its magnetically complex D-type/beta-gamma configuration with an E-W inversion line. Additional C-class events expected with the chance of an isolated M-class event in the next 24 hour period. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 16 at 12:30 UT is: S19E17 (Solar X = -270", Solar Y = -302") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 15 Dec '14

15 Dec '14

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, The target region (now numbered NOAA 2242) was the source of an isolated M1.6 event at 12/14/19:33 UT. 2242 also produced numerous C-class events. 2242 has a D-type/beta-gamma "self-contained" sunspot group. The leading sunspot has an unusual E-W magnetic inversion line and opposite polarity umbrae within a common penumbra but they are located too far apart to be classified as a true delta configuration. Emerging flux located in the trailing spots might be forming a small delta. C-class events expected with the chance of another M-class event in the next 24 hour period. The position of NOAA 2242 on December 15 at 12:30 UT is: S20E31 (Solar X = -473", Solar Y = -321") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 14 Dec '14

14 Dec '14

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar activity is at a low to moderate level. Yesterday's target region, NOAA 12234, has not produced significant activity since the previous message. On the other hand, a new region located at ~S10E70 was responsible for the largest flare since the previous message, a partially occulted M1.5 flare on 13-Dec-2014 at 5:13 UT. a series of moderate to high C-class flares were also released. The region contains a mixed polarity spot at its leading edge, showing a positive spot surrounded by two negative spots. A new AR to the SE of NOAA 12237 has emerged, and shows a mixed polarity spot at the trailing edge. The region was also responsible for a series of moderate to high C-class events, but is also still actively emerging. Thus, the new AR to the SE of NOAA 12237 is the target. Futher high C-class activity is expected with the chance for an isolated low M-class flare. The position of the new region on 14-Dec-2014 at 15:45 UT is: S20E45 ( -650", -300" ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Paul Higgins (Trinity College Dublin/LMSAL)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 12 Dec '14

12 Dec '14

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar activity is at a low level. Yesterday's target region, NOAA 12234, was responsible for the largest event since the previous message, a C4.0 flare on 12-Dec-2014 at 14:40 UT. The region exhibits further signs of flux emergence, and now contains a small mixed polarity spot in its leading portion. Further low C-class activity is expected with the chance for an isolated high C-class flare. The position of NOAA 12234 on 12-Dec-2014 at 16:35 UT is: N04W07 ( 118",78" ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Paul Higgins (Trinity College Dublin/LMSAL)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 11 Dec '14

11 Dec '14

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar activity is at a low level. Yesterday's target region, NOAA 12230, has released low C-class activity since the previous message and shows signs of decay. On the other hand, NOAA 12234 exhibits signs of flux emergence and was responsible for the largest event, a C3.9 flare on 11-Dec-2014 at 8:56 UT. Further low C-class activity is expected with the chance for an isolated high C-class flare. The position of NOAA 12234 on 12-Dec-2014 at 00:35 UT is: N04E03 ( -51", 76" ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Paul Higgins (Trinity College Dublin/LMSAL)

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MMmotd December 2014