MMmotd November 2014

mmmotd@solar.physics.montana.edu

1 participants
31 discussions

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 10 Nov '14

10 Nov '14

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, The level of solar activity is low-to-moderate. NOAA 12205 has shown signs of minor growth and spot consolidation over the past 24 hours, while maintaining classification as a beta-gamma-delta/E-type sunspot group. This region has continued to produce multiple C-class events since the M2.3 flare on 9-Nov-2014 at 15:24 UT. The existing MM#003 Major Flare Watch will continue for another 24 hours, as this region retains the potential for more flares above the M5 level. Conditions at the South East limb will be monitored, as the highly-active NOAA region 12192 should begin its far-side approach to this limb in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 12205 on 10-Nov-2014 at 16:30 UT is: N15W04, ( 67”, 196” ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Shaun Bloomfield (Trinity College Dublin)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 09 Nov '14

09 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2205 was only able to produce C-class events and one M2.3 event (11/09/15:32 UT) in the past 24 hour period. 2205 has decayed somewhat especially within its trailing portion but it is still maintaining its E-type/beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. A major flare =/>M5 is still possible with even a slight chance of an X-class event in the next 24 hours. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 09 at 12:00 UT is: N16E13 (Solar X = -210", Solar Y = 212") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 08 Nov '14

08 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2205 was the source of an X1.6 event (11/07/17:25 UT) since the last message. 2205 is maintaining its large and magnetically complex E-type/beta-gamma sunspot group with delta configurations located within the intermediate and trailing portions of the region. Another major flare =/>M5 is likely and even another X-class flare is possible in the next 24-48 hour period. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 08 at 16:00 UT is: N16E24 (Solar X = -380", Solar Y = 214") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 07 Nov '14

07 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 2205 was the source of 4 M-class events since the last message. The largest was an M2.7 event at 11/07/02:49 UT. 2205 is maintaining its large and complex E-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot group. A major flare =/>M5 is possible in the next 24 to 48 hour period. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 07 at 12:00 UT is: N16E39 (Solar X = -588", Solar Y = 220") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 06 Nov '14

06 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, During the past 24 hour period NOAA 2205 produced an M5.4 event at 11/06/03:46 UT. 2205 also produced an M2.9 at 11/05/19:44 and an M3.2 event at 11/06/01:39 UT. 2205 is currently a large E-type/beta-gamma sunspot group with multiple small magnetic delta configurations. Another major event (=/>M5) is likely in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 06 at 17:00 UT is: N16E51 (Solar X = -891", Solar Y = 248") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 05 Nov '14

05 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region NOAA 2205 was the source of an impulsive M7.9 event at 11/05/09:47 UT. 2205 has a large E-type/beta-gamma sunspot group with a possible delta magnetic configuration. Another event =/>M5 is possible in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 05 at 04:00 UT is: N16E73 (Solar X = -891", Solar Y = 248") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 04 Nov '14

04 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region (now numbered NOAA 2205) produced an M2.6 event at 11/04/08:38 UT and an M2.3 event at 11/04/09:04 UT. 2205 appears to have mixed polarities located within its intermediate portion and possibly within its trailing portion as well. There remains a chance of another major flare in the next 24 to 48 hours. The position of NOAA 2205 on November 04 at 12:00 UT is: N15E80 (Solar X = -921", Solar Y = 239") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 03 Nov '14

03 Nov '14

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, The northeastern limb target region was the source of an M6.5 event at 11/03/22:30 UT. At this time we are implementing Max Millennium coordinated observing plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce A Major Flare). The region is still too close to the limb to ascertain its magnetic configuration. Another event =/>M5 is probable in the next 24 to 48 hours. The approximate position of the target on Nov. 03 at 22:30 UT is: N14E89 (Solar X = -939", Solar Y = 232") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 03 Nov '14

03 Nov '14

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, A new region located mostly beyond the northeastern limb was the source of a limb occulted M2.2 event at 11/03/11:53 UT. The region is too close to the limb to ascertain its magnetic configuration but there is a large leader sunspot visible in white light images. The default target will switch from NOAA 2201 to the new region today. C-class events expected with the chance of another M-class event possible in the next 24 hour period. The approximate position of the target on Nov. 03 at 12:00 UT is: N17E89 (Solar X = -925", Solar Y = 281") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 02 Nov '14

02 Nov '14

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar activity is at a low level. A new bipolar region, designated NOAA 12203, has emerged, but has not released significant activity. NOAA 12201 shows some evidence for flux emergence and a weak gamma configuration. The region was responsible for high B-class activity, the largest event being a C8.4 flare at 04:01 UT. Further high B-class events are expected with the chance for a low C-class flare. The position of NOAA 12201 on 2-Nov-2014 at 17:00 UT is: S05E31 (-468",-146") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Paul Higgins (Trinity College Dublin/LMSAL)

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MMmotd November 2014