Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is low. Target region NOAA 12936
has now rotated its spots over the North West limb. Most of
the spotted regions on the visible disk have shown signs of
slight decay since the last message. The target switches to
NOAA 12941, a beta/E-type classified sunspot group that was
the source of four low C-class flares shortly after the last
message was issued. Further C-class activity is expected in
the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 12941 on 6-Feb-2022 at 16:30 UT is:
N24E39 , ( -562", 471" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low level. Target region NOAA 12936
showed signs of decay but it has remained as a beta/E-type
sunspot classification. This region has continued to flare
since the last message, producing six low C-class flares
including the largest of the period (a C2.6 on 4-Feb-2022
at 21:42 UT). Although NOAA 12936 is now rotating over the
North West limb, it will remain the target for the next 24
hours while its high-lying loops remain visible. Additional
C-class flares are expected in the following 24-hour period,
with a small chance for a low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 12936 on 5-Feb-2022 at 22:00 UT is:
N17W87 , ( 929", 288" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is low. Target region NOAA 12940
decayed slightly since the last message and has simplified in
magnetic classification to a beta/C-type sunspot group. This
region did not produce any flaring activity since the last
message, so the MMCO target switches back to NOAA 12936 as it
rotates up to the North West limb. NOAA 12936 has remained as
a beta/E-type sunspot classification but has increased in its
frequency of flaring to produce eight C-class flares over the
past 24 hours, including the largest of the period (a C5.8 on
4-Feb-2022 at 15:39 UT). Additional C-class activity is likely
in the next 24 hours, with a chance for a low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 12936 on 4-Feb-2022 at 18:00 UT is:
N17W72 , ( 885", 315" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low level. The target region NOAA 12940
has decayed somewhat in sunspot area over the past 24 hours and
remains classified as a beta-gamma/D-type sunspot group. There
are several spotted NOAA regions that produced C-class activity
since the last message, including NOAA 12940. Further C-class
activity is expected over the following 24-hour period, with a
chance for a low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 12940 on 3-Feb-2022 at 18:00 UT is:
N18E23 , ( -365", 392" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is at a low-to-moderate. The target
region NOAA 12936 has shown mixed signs of decay and new sunspot
development, remaining classified as a beta/E-type sunspot group.
This region continued producing only low C-class activity since
the last message, so the Max Millennium coordinated observing
plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce A Major Flare) will cease at
this time. Although NOAA 12936 is expected to produce additional
C-class activity, the target region switches to NOAA 12940. This
region is classified as a beta-gamma/D-type sunspot group and
has been the source of several low-to-mid C-class flares since
the last message. Further C-class activity is expected, with a
chance for a low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 12940 on 2-Feb-2022 at 23:30 UT is:
N18E20 , ( -320", 394" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low-to-moderate level. The target NOAA 12936
continued to evolve its interior spots since the last message, but
retained a classification as a beta/E-type sunspot group. The most
flare-productive region has been newly numbered NOAA 12940 in the
North West quadrant that produced several C-class events including
the largest flare of the period (a C8.6 on 1-Feb-2022 at 07:25 UT).
Whilst NOAA 12940 is expected to produce more C-class flares and it
has the potential for low M-class, NOAA 12936 remains the target of
the current Max Millennium coordinated observing plan #003 (Region
Likely To Produce A Major Flare) for another 24 hours. This is due
to the leading spots of NOAA 12938 (that appear to be showing minor
flux emergence) being relatively close to the opposite-polarity and
irregularly-shaped main trailing spot of NOAA 12936.
The position of NOAA 12936 on 1-Feb-2022 at 20:00 UT is:
N16W33 , ( 511", 351" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is moderate. The target region NOAA 12936
has shown some evolution over the past 24 hours, now being classified
as a beta/E-type sunspot group. This region contains some intermediate
pores, several of which have consolidated into the primary leading and
trailing sunspots. NOAA 12396 has continued producing C-class activity
since the last message (6 in total, but all low C-class). Additional
C-class activity is expected over the following 24-hour period, while
the Max Millennium coordinated observing plan #003 (Region Likely To
Produce A Major Flare) will remain in effect as NOAA 12936 retains the
potential to produce a >M5 flare.
The position of NOAA 12936 on 31-Jan-2022 at 16:00 UT is:
N17W18 , ( 285", 377" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear Collaborators,
At this time we are implementing Max Millennium coordinated
observing plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce A Major Flare).
Target region NOAA 2936 has developed a weak magnetic delta
in the trailing portion of its E-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot
group. 2936 produced an isolated M1.1 event and several
C-class events since the last message. The M1.1 was at
01/29/23:32 UT. Another low level M-class event is likely
with an event >M4 possible. There is only a slight chance
of an X-class event in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 2936 on January 30 at 15:00 UT is:
N17W04 (Solar X = 065", Solar Y = 381")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default Target
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 2936 continues to increase its
sunspot area and spot count. 2936 has a large compact
E-type/beta sunspot group with a mostly E-W magnetic
inversion line with leading and trailing polarities closely
spaced. Continued growth might result in the region
forming a magnetic delta configuration. 2936 produced
several C-class events since the last message.
The largest was a C6.9 at 01/29/12:19 UT. A region
beyond the southeastern limb at approximately
S16 was the source of a limb occulted C7.3 event at
01/29/16:55 UT. C-class events certain with an excellent
chance of an isolated low level M-class event. A larger
M-class (>M3) is possible if a magnetic delta configuration
develops in the next 24 hour period.
The position of NOAA 2936 on January 29 at 15:45 UT is:
N17E10 (Solar X = -162", Solar Y = 378")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default Target
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 2936 developed significantly in
the past 24 hour period. New flux emergence within
the leading and intermediate portion has increased
sunspot area and spot count. Should growth continue
the region may develop a magnetic delta configuration.
2936 was the source of eight minor C-class events
since the last message. The largest was a C3.1
at 01/28/17:35 UT. C-class events expected and if
the region continues in growth phase, there is a
good chance of an isolated M-class event in the next
24 hours.
The position of NOAA 2936 on January 28 at 15:45 UT is:
N17E24 (Solar X = -380", Solar Y = 370")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)