MMmotd

mmmotd@solar.physics.montana.edu

1 participants
5090 discussions

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 07 Mar '11

07 Mar '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar flare activity has increased significantly today. NOAA 1164 was the source of countless C-class events and two M-class events. The largest M-class event was the M1.4 at 03/07/08:07 UT. NOAA 1166 also produced two M-class events. The largest was an M1.9 at 03/07/14:30 UT. The recently emerged region located north of NOAA 1165 produced two M-class events. The largest was an M1.8 at 03/07/09:15 UT. All three regions have complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configurations. All three regions are capable of producing an event equal to or larger than an M5 class. Since we have a history with NOAA 1164, we will bet on it for at the target region today. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 07 at 11:30 UT is: N24W53 (Solar X = 706", Solar Y = 458") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 06 Mar '11

06 Mar '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar flare activity is at moderate levels. There are three active regions currently on the visible solar disk with the potential to produce M-class activity. Target region, NOAA 1164, is maintaining its beta-gamma-delta magnetic classification. In addition to NOAA 1164, a new region that emerged on March 03 located just north of NOAA 1165 at S18W58 is the source of numerous C-class events. This region has a circle of small spots with mixed polarities. NOAA 1166 (N10E34) has developed some magnetic complexity and is producing C-class events. All three regions are capable of producing an M-class event. 1164 has a slight chance of producing an isolated M5 or larger event in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 06 at 11:30 UT is: N24W41 (Solar X = 581", Solar Y = 475") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 05 Mar '11

05 Mar '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 is maintaining a complex beta-gamma magnetic classification with a weak delta configuration located in its intermediate portion. It is noteworthy that despite its magnetic complexity, it is only producing C-class level events for the past several days. There is still a chance of an isolated M-class event with a slight chance of a M5 or larger flare in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 05 at 11:30 UT is: N25W26 (Solar X = 385", Solar Y = 506") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 04 Mar '11

04 Mar '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 has increased its magnetic complexity somewhat since the last message. It has reformed a weak delta configuration within its intermediate portion and it continues to produce continuous H-alpha bright points and was the source of several C-class events. An isolated M-class event is possible with a slight chance of an M5 or larger flare. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 04 at 11:30 UT is: N25W13 (Solar X = 197", Solar Y = 515") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 03 Mar '11

03 Mar '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 continues to slowly decay losing several small spots. The chances of a major flare has also decreased but an isolated M-class event is still possible with a slight chance of an event equal to or greater than M5. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 03 at 16:30 UT is: N25W02 (Solar X = 030", Solar Y = 518") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 02 Mar '11

02 Mar '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 has lost its delta configuration and has lost some of its overall magnetic complexity. There is a large active dark filament located in the trailing portion. There is a slight chance of an isolated mid-level M-class flare in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 03 at 12:30 UT is: N25E13 (Solar X = -198", Solar Y = 515") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 01 Mar '11

01 Mar '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 appears to be reforming a complex magnetic delta configuration. 1164 was the source of numerous C-class activity in the past 24 hours. 1164 has not been the source of a significant flare since the limb occulted major flare on February 24 but it continues to possess a magnetic complexity with the potential to produce an event equal to or greater than M5. The position of NOAA 1164 on March 01 at 12:30 UT is: N26E26 (Solar X = -382", Solar Y = 520") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 28 Feb '11

28 Feb '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 was the source of numerous C-class events and an isolated M1.1 event at 02/28/12:45 UT. As mentioned yesterday, the magnetic delta configuration has decayed but 1164 is maintaining a complex beta-gamma classification with an E-W magnetic inversion line in the leading polarity portion. C-class activity expected with another M-class event possible and a slight chance of an isolated event equal to or greater than M5. The position of NOAA 1164 on February 28 at 12:30 UT is: N27E39 (Solar X = -544", Solar Y = 521") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 27 Feb '11

27 Feb '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1164 continues to be the source of low-level events. The largest was a C4.2 at 02/27/03:55 UT. The regions magnetic configuration is a complex beta-gamma but the large leading penumbra has split losing its delta configuration. The changes of a major flare have decreased somewhat but 1164 is still capable of producing an isolated M-class event. The position of NOAA 1164 on February 27 at 12:30 UT is: N28E53 (Solar X = -684", Solar Y = 516") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 26 Feb '11

26 Feb '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, The target region (now numbered NOAA 1164) has a complex magnetic delta configuration. 1164 is displaying point brightening and continuous surges in H-alpha images. It has produced numerous B- and C-class events associated with the point brightening but hasn't produced any high level activity since the M3.5 (behind the east limb) event on the 24th. 1164 has the potential to produce an M5 event or larger in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1164 on February 26 at 15:40 UT is: N28E67 (Solar X = -788", Solar Y = 339") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

1 0

Jump to page:

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

MMmotd