MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1158 produced numerous C-class events and 3 M-class
events since the last message. The largest M-class was
an M1.6 at 02/16/14:25 UT. 1158 is maintaining its magnetically
complex E-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot group. A major
flare equal to or larger than M5 is likely within the next
24 hours.
The position of NOAA 1158 on February 16 at 14:00 UT is:
S21W35 (Solar X = 521", Solar Y = -257")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Major Flare Watch region, NOAA 1158, was the source of the first
X-class flare of Solar Cycle 24. 1158 produced an X2.2 event at
02/15/01:45 UT. 1158 also produced an M2.2 at 02/14/17:26 UT.
Both events were associated with Earth directed CMEs.
1158 maintains its strong delta configuration located within
the intermediate portion of its large magnetically complex
E-type/beta gamma delta sunspot group.
Another major event is likely within the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 1158 on February 15 at 12:30 UT is:
S21W21 (Solar X = 326", Solar Y = -245")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1158, was the source of a major M6.6 event
at 02/13/17:30 UT. The largest event since the M6 was a C9.4
at 02/14/12:45 UT. 1158 has a large magnetically complex
E-type/gamma sunspot group. The intermediate portion
of the sunspot group has a strong delta configuration
with an E-W magnetic inversion line. There is a very good
chance for another event equal to or greater than M5 in
the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 1158 on February 14 at 13:30 UT is:
S20W11 (Solar X = 174", Solar Y = -224")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
At this time we are implementing Max Millennium Coordinated Observing
Plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce Major Flares). Previous target,
NOAA 1158, entered a very strong growth phase today. It now has the
potential to produce a major flare. It has developed a magnetically
complex large E-type sunspot group with a beta-gamma magnetic
classification with a possible strong delta configuration forming
within its intermediate portion. An M5 event or greater is possible
if growth continues.
The position of NOAA 1158 on February 13 at 01:30 UT is:
S21E15 (Solar X = -236", Solar Y = -244")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
The target region, now numbered NOAA 1158, is mostly unchanged.
It was the source of a B9.6 event at 02/11/23:12 UT. The target
will switch today to east limb watch. Old NOAA regions 1147 and
1149 are returning to the visible disk. There also appears to be
a new region located nearby. This area is the source of occulted
B-class activity. The largest was a B8.6 at 02/12/01:00 UT.
This event was associated with a spectacular eruption.
Additional limb events are possible today.
The position of the target on February 12 at 01:00 UT is:
N25E86 (Solar Y = -879", Solar Y = 415")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1153 has rotated completely off the visible solar disk.
It was the source of a few minor x-ray events yesterday.
The new target region is a rapidly developing EFR located
in the SE quadrant. B-class events expected with a chance
of an isolated C-class event if the region continues to
develop. Its sunspot group is currently classified as a
D-type with a beta magnetic configuration.
The position of the target on February 11 at 08:00 UT is:
S19E35 (Solar X = -529", Solar Y = -228")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1153 was the source of 4 C-class events. The largest
was a C4.7 at 02/10/12:30 UT. 1153 could still produce an
interesting event from its position located just beyond
the west limb.
The position of NOAA 1153 on February 10 at 16:30 UT is:
N15W91 (Solar X = 938", Solar Y = 247")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1153, continued in strong growth phase yesterday
developing a beta-gamma magnetic classification later in the day.
1153 was the source of an isolated impulsive M1.9 event at
02/09/01:28 UT. 1153 also produced 3 C-class events.
The region is now too close to the west limb to ascertain its
current magnetic configuration but appears to continue to develop
displaying bright plage and a possible arch-type-filament system.
Another M-class event is possible before west limb passage.
The position of NOAA 1153 on February 09 at 16:00 UT is:
N15W80 (Solar X = 925", Solar Y = 268")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1153, has developed remarkably and is
now classified a D-type - beta region. 1153 was the source of
several B-class events since the last report. B-class activity is
expected to continue with a chance of a C-class event before
1153 completes west limb passage.
The position of NOAA 1153 on February 08 at 16:30 UT is:
N15W66 (Solar X = 859", Solar Y = 293")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1152 continues in decay phase and is now spotless.
New target NOAA 1153 has added a few small sunspots and has
started to produce minor B-class events. Additional B-class activity
is possible in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 1153 on February 07 at 15:30 UT is:
N16W51 (Solar X = 728", Solar Y = 333")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)