MM#009 Default Target
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 3014 (E-type/beta) continues
in decay phase and only produced minor C-class
events since the last message. C-class activity
likely with only a slight chance of an isolated
M-class event in the next 24 hour period. The
largest event yesterday was an M1.3 event at
05/25/18:24 UT. The event was trigged by an
eruptive filament located along the main magnetic
inversion line of spotless NOAA 3016 (S19W41).
The position of NOAA 3014 on May 26 at 15:30 UT is:
N22W83 (Solar X = 871", Solar Y = 357")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default Target
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 3014 continues in decay phase.
Its large E-type sunspot group's magnetic delta
configuration has significantly weakened again
since the last message and will likely disappear
in the next 24 hours. 3014 was mostly quiescent
producing only a few minor C-class events since
the last message. At this time we will terminate
the MFW but keep 3014 as the preferred default
target. C-class events likely with a slight chance
of an isolated M-class event in the next 24 hour period.
The position of NOAA 3014 on May 25 at 10:45 UT is:
N23W67 (Solar X = 804", Solar Y = 379")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 3014 (E-type/beta-delta) is
slowly decaying and produced only minor C-class
events since the last message. The magnetic delta
configuration has significantly weakened but
3014 is still a large and complex region. An
event =>M5 remains a slight possibility in the
next 24 hour period. Note that a region located
just beyond the southeastern limb (S11) was the
source of a limb occulted C3.6 event at 05/24/06:37 UT.
The position of NOAA 3014 on May 24 at 14:45 UT is:
N23W56 (Solar X = 725", Solar Y = 384")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear Collaborators,
Target region NOAA 3014 (E-type/beta-gamma-delta)
is slowly decaying and only produced minor C-class
events since the last message. Its magnetic delta
configuration is weakening but the region is maintaining
its large somewhat complex sunspot group. New flux
emergence in 3014 is needed to increase the probability
of larger events. An isolated >=M event is still possible
in the next 24 hour period.
The position of NOAA 3014 on May 23 at 10:45 UT is:
N23W42 (Solar X = 586"< Solar Y = 391")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity continues at the low C-level with NOAA 13014 remaining
mostly quiescent since the last message. The region has shown signs of
decay but retains its delta configuration due to mixed polarity within
the trailing edge of the eastern sunspot. Major Flare Watch shall
remain in effect for a further 24 hours due to the possibility of a
>M5 flare.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 22-May-2022 at 07:30 UT is:
N22W28, ( 413", 381" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has remained at the C-level since the last message. The
target region NOAA 13014 produced some low C-class flare but retains
its beta-gamma-delta configuration. The region continues to develop
and now has an area of ~1200uH. Major Flare Watch shall remain in
effect with continued chance of an >M5 flare over the next 24-48
hours.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 21-May-2022 at 11:30 UT is:
N24W16, ( 239", 415" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
NOAA 13014 was the source of an M3.0 flare at 07:35 UT today. The
region retains its beta-gamma-delta figuration and has continued to
increase in size to over 1100uH. The leading and trailing portions of
the region have begun to merge together, which may result in increased
sheering along the polarity inversion line. Major Flare Watch shall
remain in effect with possibility of a >M5 flare over the next 24
hours.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 20-May-2022 at 11:30 UT is:
N22W03, ( 46", 388" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has increased since the last message with the
near-spotless region NOAA 13017 producing an M5.6 flare at 07:00 UT
today. NOAA 13014 was also the source of an M1.5 flare at 10:00 UT,
and is now classified as a beta-gamma-delta region with a sunspot area
of almost 1000uH. At this time we are issuing a Major Flare Watch with
NOAA 13014 as the target region. Further C-level activity likely with
chance of a >M5 flare in the next 24 hours. Also include NOAA 13017 in
your field of view if possible.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 19-May-2022 at 11:30 UT is:
N21E10, ( -154", 374" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity remains at the C-level with sustained activity from
NOAA 13014 since the last message. The region has continued to develop
in size, but is now classified as a beta-gamma/D-type region. NOAA
13014 shall continue as the target region. Further C-level activity
expected with chance of a low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 18-May-2022 at 11:30 UT is:
N22E24, ( -358", 388" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has increased in the last 24 hours due to the rapid
development of NOAA 13014 in the northeast quadrant, resulting in the
production of several low C-class flares, and is now classified as a
beta-delta region. The region near the northeast limb that was the
source of M-class activity has now been designated as NOAA 13017 but
has remained quiescent, while NOAA 13010 in the southeast quadrant was
the source of a C9.9 flare at 11:26 UT today. NOAA 13014 shall become
the new target region with further C-level activity expected, and
chance of a low M-class flare. Also include NOAA 13015 in your field
of view as well if possible.
The position of NOAA 13014 on 17-May-2022 at 11:30 UT is:
N22E37, ( -530", 385" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)