Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a moderate level. Target NOAA 13243 has now
rotated up to the North West limb, and although still classified
as a beta/D-type sunspot group at the start of the UT day this
will have been significantly hampered by foreshortening effects.
NOAA 13243 continued to produce C-class events in the period but
the largest magnitude flare was an M1.0 on 6-Mar-2023 at 17:24 UT
from NOAA 13242. The MM#003 Major Flare Watch will continue for a
further 24 hours on the limb-exiting location of NOAA 13243 while
its high-lying loops are still visible. More C-class activity is
expected over the next 24 hours, with a chance for M-class flares.
The limb-exiting position of NOAA 13243 on 7-Mar-2023 at 19:30 UT is:
N18W90 , ( 919", 296" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is moderate-to-high. Target region NOAA 13242
grew slightly in terms of spot area and longitudinal extent since the last
message, increasing its classification to a beta/E-type sunspot group. NOAA
13242 continued to produce C-class events in the period along with an M1.0
flare on 5-Mar-2023 at 16:24 UT. NOAA 13243 also grew in spot area and was
reclassified as a beta/D-type sunspot group. This region produced two >M5
flares, including the largest flare in the period - an M5.8 on 6-Mar-2023
at 02:08 UT. At this time we are commencing a new MM#003 Major Flare Watch
on NOAA 13243, as this region retains the potential for more >M5 flares in
the following 24-hour period.
The position of NOAA 13243 on 6-Mar-2023 at 15:00 UT is:
N18W72 , ( 876", 332" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
NOAA 13234 has now rotated beyond the northwest limb, but was the
source of a partially-occulted M5.3 flare at 15:19 UT yesterday, as
well as several C-class flares. We shall terminate the Major Flare
Watch campaign at this time and the new default target region shall be
NOAA 13242 in the northeast quadrant, which has also produced C-level
activity as well as an isolated M1.2 flare yesterday. The region is
classified as a beta/C-type region and appears to be in decay, but may
produce further C-level activity over the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13242 on 5-Mar-2023 at 08:30 UT is:
N10E34, ( -534", 267" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has returned to intermediate levels since the X-class
flare yesterday. There has been C-level activity from NOAA 13242 and
an isolated M1.0 flare from NOAA 13243. NOAA 13234 is now just beyond
the northwest limb but its dynamic loop system remains visible in EUV
images. Major Flare Watch shall remain in effect for a further 24
hours due to the possibility of an occulted >M5 flare from NOAA 13234.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 4-Mar-2023 at 08:30 UT is:
N25W81, ( 866", 422" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
The target region NOAA 13234 produced an X2.0 flare around 17:50 UT
today. At this time we are implementing another Major Flare Watch
campaign due to the possibility of an additional >M5 flare before the
region transits the northwest limb.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 3-Mar-2023 at 16:30 UT is:
N25W73, ( 839", 438" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity remains at intermediate levels as the target region
NOAA 13234 approaches the western limb. The region has produced
several C-class flares since the last message, as well as two low
M-class flares. The magnetic configuration of the region is becoming
uncertain due to its proximity to the limb, but it is likely to
continue to produce C- and low-M levels events over the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 3-Mar-2023 at 08:30 UT is:
N25W68, ( 814", 447" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has returned to intermediate levels since the M8 fare
two days ago. NOAA 13234 has continued to produce C-level activity,
including a C9.2 flare at 04:39 UT today. The region remains unchanged
in terms of size but appears to have lost its delta configuration. We
will end the Major Flare Watch at this time, although NOAA 13234 shall
continue as the target region as it approaches the western limb.
Further C-level likely with chance for a low M-class flare over the
next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 2-Mar-2023 at 12:30 UT is:
N25W56, ( 728",468" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity increased significantly since the last message. The
target region NOAA 13234 was the source of an M8.6 flare at 17:35 UT
yesterday, as well as numerous C-class flares. The region continues to
undergo flux emergence, particularly in its core. The trailing spots
continue to display rotational behavior, which may lead to further
sheering around the delta spot. The Major Flare Watch shall remain in
effect for a further 24 hours due to the increased possibility of
another >M5 flare.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 1-Mar-2023 at 12:30 UT is:
N25W43, ( 599", 487" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has been at a low level since the last message, with
low C-class flares from NOAA 13234. However, the region has increased
in size and complexity, and is now classified as a beta-gamma-delta
region due to mixed polarities within the trailing sunspot. This
portion of the active region also appears to be coalescing and
rotating which may introduce significant sheering along the polarity
inversion line. As such we are implementing a Major Flare Watch
campaign at this time due to the increased possibility of a M5 flare
or greater over the next 24-48 hours.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 28-Feb-2023 at 12:30 UT is:
N25W29, ( 426", 503" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar conditions have remained at the low C-level since the M6.4 flare
on 25-Feb-2023, with NOAA 13229 now approaching the western limb. NOAA
13234 remains unchanged in terms of size and complexity, maintaining a
beta-delta configuration with a sunspot area >500uh, and shall
continue as the default target region. Further C-level activity likely
with chance for an isolated low M-class flare over the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13234 on 27-Feb-2023 at 08:30 UT is:
N25W14, ( 213", 514" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)