Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has increased to an intermediate level since the last message.
The largest event was an M1.0 flare at 00:11 UT today (11/13), produced
by the target region NOAA 13889 (S09W07). This region retains a beta-
gamma-delta magnetic configuration and produced another eight C-class
flares in the period. The Major Flare Watch will remain effective with NOAA
13889 for the next 24 hours, due to its magnetic complexity and increasing
activity. Please note that NOAA 13879, which recently rotated beyond the
west limb, produced a C8.3 flare at 12:36 UT yesterday (11/12). Additional
C-class activity is expected, with a chance of an isolated >M5 flare in the
next 24-48 hours.
The position of NOAA 13889 on 13-Nov-2024 at 08:30 UT is:
S09W07 (117",-202")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
De-Chao Song (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has decreased to a low level since the last message.
The target region NOAA 13889 (S10E06) remains the most flare-
productive region during the period. It retains a beta-gamma-delta
sunspot group and was the source of eight C-class flares, including
the largest magnitude in the period - a C4.4 at 14:19 UT yesterday
(11/11). The Major Flare Watch will remain effective with NOAA
13889 for a further 24 hours, due to its magnetic complexity and
prior flaring history. Please note that NOAA 13884 (S07W47, beta/
C-type) also produced a C4.3 flare at 07:40 UT today. Further
C-class activities are expected, with a slight chance of an isolated
>M5 flare in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13889 on 12-Nov-2024 at 08:30 UT is:
S10E06 (-100",-220")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
De-Chao Song (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has decreased to a high-to-moderate level since the last
message. The largest event in the period was an M4.9 flare at 20:09 UT
yesterday (11/10) produced by the target region NOAA 13889 (S10E21).
This region retains a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration with a
slight increase in the spot area (now 480 ÎĽH). 13889 also produced
an M1.4 flare at 05:36 UT today and several C-class flares during the
period. Today the Major Flare Watch shall remain with NOAA 13889,
due to its magnetic complexity, high current helicity, and continued
flux emergence. M-class activities are expected, with a chance of an
isolated >M5 flare in the next 24-48 hours.
The position of NOAA 13889 on 11-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S10E21 (-343",-219")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
De-Chao Song (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has returned to a high level, due to an M9.4 flare
at 11:51 UT today produced by NOAA 13889. 13889 retains a
beta-gamma-delta/E-type sunspot group and has increased in
the spot area to 450 ÎĽh. Today the Major Flare Watch shall switch
to NOAA 13889 because of its high complexity, and large size,
and return to M-class flaring. Yesterday’s target NOAA 13883
(S06W42, beta-gamma-delta/F-type) was flare quiet over the
period. Additional low-M activities are probable, with a chance
for another >M5 flare in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13889 on 10-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S10E31 (-493", -216")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has decreased to an intermediate level. The
largest event since the last message was a C7.4 flare at
23:54 UT yesterday produced by NOAA 13889 (S10E42). It
also was a source of eight C-class flares and the most productive
region. 13889 has been classified as a beta-gamma-delta/E-type
sunspot group. The target NOAA 13883 appears to be decaying
and was confirmed as a beta-delta/F-type sunspot group. It only
produced four C-class flares with the largest being a C7.3 flare
at 12:15 UT today. Today the Major Flare Watch will be extended
for the final 24 hours with NOAA 13883. More C-class activities
are expected, with a slight chance for an isolated major flare in
the following 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 9-Nov-2024 at 16:30 UT is:
S06W31 (497", -151")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has been still at a moderate level since the last
message. The largest event was an M2.3 flare at 14:49 UT
yesterday produced by the target region NOAA 13883. This
region also produced an M1.5 at 02:53 UT today plus six C-class
flares. 13883 has been classified as a beta-gamma-delta/F-type
magnetic configuration, with some consolidation of its main spots.
Today the Major Flare Watch shall continue as NOAA 13883.
Yesterday’s limb region has been numbered as NOAA 13889
(S10E59, beta-delta/E-type), only a source of several ~C5 flares
over the period. Additional low-M activities are probable, with an
isolated above-M5 flare likely in the coming 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 8-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S07W14 (233", -176")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has been at a high-to-moderate level since the
last message. The target region NOAA 13883 produced the
largest event - an X2.3 flare at 13:24 UT yesterday. This region
retains its beta-gamma-delta/E-type magnetic configuration
and has grown marginally in the sunspot area, with the continuous
shearing motion of its intermediate spots. Today the Major Flare
Watch shall remain with NOAA 13883. Note that a productive
region near the South East limb (S08E79, unnumbered yet) also
produced an M5.3 flare at 14:27 UT yesterday. Further C-class
and low-M activities are expected, with a good chance for >M5
flares from the two regions in the following 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 7-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S06W00 (0", -163")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity remains at a high level in the past 24 hours.
The largest event since the last message was an M5.9 flare
at 08:48 UT today produced by an unnumbered region (N17W65).
This region between NOAA 13878 and the North West limb
was newly emerged in the period. The target region NOAA
13883 has experienced notable shearing and additional flux
emergence and has been classified as a beta-gamma-delta/E-type
sunspot group. It was the most complex region on the disk.
Today the Major Flare Watch will continue as NOAA 13883.
Further C-class and low-M activities are expected, with a good
chance for additional >M5 flares in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 6-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S06E14 (-233", -163")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity has increased due to an M5.6 flare
at 15:26 UT yesterday from the target region NOAA 13883.
13883 has continued to grow in spot maturity to display an
irregular distribution on both polarities and well-developed
penumbrae on its following portion, changing it to a
gamma-delta/E-type magnetic configuration. Therefore, we
are initiating a Major Flare Watch campaign at this time, with
an increased probability of another >M5 flare in the coming
24-48 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 5-Nov-2024 at 08:30 UT is:
S06E32 (-511", -157")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity continues at a moderate level. The largest event
since the last message was an M3.8 flare at 01:05 UT today
from NOAA 13883. This region also produced six low-M flares.
It has developed into a beta-gamma-delta/E-type sunspot group
with polarity mixing and separation of its main spots. Today we
shall end the Major Flare Watch campaign, and the default target
shall switch to NOAA 13883 due to its current flaring level and
dynamic sunspot behavior. Yesterday’s target NOAA 13878
decreased in the sunspot area and only produced an M1.4 flare
at 04:31 UT. Further C-class activities are expected, with more
low-M flare possible in the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13883 on 4-Nov-2024 at 12:30 UT is:
S06E44 (-670", -149")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Qiao Li (Purple Mountain Observatory)