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mmmotd@solar.physics.montana.edu

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 12 Aug '11

12 Aug '11

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, With NOAA 11263 rotated completely off the disk, solar activity has dropped significantly. The only flares in the past 24 hours registered as B class but originated from the highly occulted 11263. Today, with most other regions in decay, the target will shift to the newly numbered NOAA 11270 which has recently rotated onto the east limb. The region consists of bipolar sunspots and is bright in EUV and in X-rays. It appears to still be evolving and growing so low to moderate activity may be possible. The position of NOAA 11270 on 12-Aug-2011 10:30 UT is: N23E48 ( -649", 302" ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Claire Raftery (SSL, UC Berkeley)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 11 Aug '11

11 Aug '11

Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 11263 continues to produce significant C class flares - the largest of these being a C6 event - despite having rotated off the west limb. Although this region has rotated beyond the limb, it is clear from STEREO A observations that it is not yet showing signs of decay. As such, 11263 will continue to be today's target. However, given its high longitude, we will call off the Major Flare Watch as a >M5 flare is not likely from our perspective. The position of NOAA 11263 on 11-Aug-2011 15:30 UT is: N17W91 ( 904", 276" ) See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Claire Raftery (SSL, UC Berkeley)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 10 Aug '11

10 Aug '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region NOAA 1263 was the source of several C-class events in the past 24 hour period. It is now too close to the west limb to ascertain its magnetic configuration but earlier in the period it still had a beta-gamma-delta magnetic classification. 1263 is maintaining bright H-alpha plage with some minor surging over the delta configuration. Another event =>M5 is not as likely but still possible in the next 24 hours. The position of NOAA 1263 on August 10 at 15:30 UT is: N17W90 (Solar X = 904", Solar Y = 274") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 09 Aug '11

09 Aug '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region NOAA 1263 produced an X6.9 event - the largest flare of Cycle 24 at 08/09/08:05 UT. 1263 rapidly developed negative polarity flux yesterday just south of the positive polarity spots of the weak delta located in the intermediate portion of the region. This formed a very tight strong delta configuration. Another =>M5 event is still possible before 1263 limb passage. The position of NOAA 1263 on August 09 at 15:30 UT is: N18W77 (Solar X = 877", Solar Y = 268") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 08 Aug '11

08 Aug '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Solar flare activity is low - only one C-class event in the past 24 hour period. NOAA 1263 produced a C1.3 at 08/08/03:10 UT. 1263 developed early in the period but now appears to be decaying slightly. The region is currently classified an E-type/beta-gamma with a widely spaced delta configuration located within its intermediate portion. Additional C-class events expected with a slight chance of an isolated M-class event. If 1263 has a resurgence of growth, it could produce an event =>M5. The position of NOAA 1263 on August 08 at 15:30 UT is: N17W64 (Solar X = 814", Solar Y = 232") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 07 Aug '11

07 Aug '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region NOAA 1263 is a large E-type/beta-gamma region. 1263 was the source of several minor C-class events in the past 24 hour period. New flux rapidly developed in the trailing portion of 1263 - current EFR location is N18W43. This new region is too close to 1263 to consider it a separate region. C-class activity expected today with an increasing chance of an isolated M-class event. The position of NOAA 1263 on August 07 at 10:30 UT is: N18W48 (Solar X = 670", Solar Y = 226") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 06 Aug '11

06 Aug '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1261,N14W73, continues in decay phase. The primary target will switch to NOAA 1263. 1263 is mostly unchanged maintaining its beta-gamma magnetic configuration. 1263 was the source of most of the C-class activity but the largest C-class event was a C4.1 at 08/06/08:47 UT produced by recently emerged NOAA 1267 (S17E17). 1267 currently has a very small magnetic delta configuration located in its leading sunspot. 1267 should produce additional C-class events today. Target region, 1263, could be the source of an isolated M-class event in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1263 on August 06 at 15:30 UT is: N16W40 (Solar X = 586", Solar Y = 185") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#009 Default HESSI Target
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 05 Aug '11

05 Aug '11

MM#009 Default HESSI Target Dear RHESSI Collaborators, NOAA 1261 rapidly decayed losing most of its magnetic complexity after the major M9 event yesterday but was still able to produce several C-class events in the past 24 hour period. Another major flare is unlikely at this time. NOAA 1263, N17W24, has also decayed somewhat. Both regions currently have a beta-gamma magnetic classification. It is possible that 1261 and/or 1263 could produce an isolated M-class event in the next few days. The position of NOAA 1261 on August 05 at 10:30 UT is: N15W55 (Solar X = 749", Solar Y = 188") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 04 Aug '11

04 Aug '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region, NOAA 1261, was the source of another significant event - M9.3 today peaking at 03:57 UT. Another major flare is possible as long as 1261 maintains a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. 1263, N17W12, is currently a beta-gamma-delta region with the potential to produce an M-class flare. 1261 will continue to be the primary target. The position of NOAA 1261 on August 04 at 10:30 UT is: N16W43 (Solar X = 621", Solar Y = 190") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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MM#003 Major Flare Watch
by Max Millennium Chief Observer 03 Aug '11

03 Aug '11

MM#003 Major Flare Watch Dear RHESSI Collaborators, Target region, NOAA 1261, was the source of a significant M6.0 event at 08/03/13:48 UT. 1261 also produced an M1.1 event at 08/03/03:37 UT. NOAA 1263, N17E02, was the source region of an M1.7 event at 08/03/04:32 UT. Both regions currently remain magnetically complex and are capable of producing further M-class events in the next few days. The target region will continue to be 1261. The position of NOAA 1261 on August 03 at 10:30 UT is: N15W27 (Solar X = 416", Solar Y = 160") See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan. Regards, Bill Marquette (Helio Research)

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