MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1261 rapidly decayed losing most of its magnetic
complexity after the major M9 event yesterday
but was still able to produce several C-class events in the
past 24 hour period. Another major flare is unlikely at this
time. NOAA 1263, N17W24, has also decayed somewhat.
Both regions currently have a beta-gamma magnetic classification.
It is possible that 1261 and/or 1263 could produce
an isolated M-class event in the next few days.
The position of NOAA 1261 on August 05 at 10:30 UT is:
N15W55 (Solar X = 749", Solar Y = 188")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1261, was the source of another significant
event - M9.3 today peaking at 03:57 UT. Another major flare is
possible as long as 1261 maintains a complex beta-gamma-delta
magnetic configuration. 1263, N17W12, is currently a
beta-gamma-delta region with the potential to produce an
M-class flare. 1261 will continue to be the primary target.
The position of NOAA 1261 on August 04 at 10:30 UT is:
N16W43 (Solar X = 621", Solar Y = 190")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1261, was the source of a significant
M6.0 event at 08/03/13:48 UT. 1261 also produced an M1.1
event at 08/03/03:37 UT. NOAA 1263, N17E02, was the source
region of an M1.7 event at 08/03/04:32 UT. Both regions
currently remain magnetically complex and are capable of producing
further M-class events in the next few days.
The target region will continue to be 1261.
The position of NOAA 1261 on August 03 at 10:30 UT is:
N15W27 (Solar X = 416", Solar Y = 160")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1261, was the source of numerous
C-class events and a long duration M1.4 event at 08/02/06:19 UT.
A fast Earth directed CME was associated with this event.
1261 is mostly unchanged preserving a beta-gamma-delta
magnetic configuration. 1261 has the potential to produce
an event =>M5 in the next few days if it maintains its
current magnetic configuration. It is possible NOAA 1263
located just to the east (N17E15) of 1261 may produce
an isolated M-class event as well. 1263 is also classified
beta-gamma-delta.
The position of NOAA 1261 on August 02 at 10:30 UT is:
N16W14 (Solar X = 220", Solar Y = 169")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Both NOAA regions 1261 and 1263 developed rapidly late in the
day yesterday. Both regions increased sunspot area and count
and magnetic complexity. Both regions have delta configurations.
1261 and 1263 produced numerous C-class events during the past
24 hour period. 1261 was the source of the largest C-class event
(C4.0 at 08/01/07:32 UT). Target region 1261 could produce
an isolated =>M5 event in the next 24 hour period.
1263, N18E28, is also capable of producing an M-class event today.
The position of NOAA 1261 on August 01 at 10:30 UT is:
N16W01 (Solar X = 015", Solar Y = 168")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1261 has slightly decayed following the M9 event on July 30th
but is currently maintaining its beta-gamma-delta magnetic
classification. Another major flare is less likely today but an
isolated M-class flare is possible in the next 24 hour period.
The Major Flare Watch for an event => M5 will continue for
at least another day. NOAA 1263, N18E39, also has the
potential to produce an isolated M-class event.
The position of NOAA 1261 on July 31 at 15:30 UT is:
N17E13 (Solar X = -204", Solar Y = 187")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
Target region, NOAA 1260, decayed significantly and was mostly
quiet. NOAA 1261 developed significantly during the past 24 hour
period and was very active. 1261 was the source of numerous
C-class events and a major very impulsive M9.3 event
at 07/30/02:09 UT. 1261 added numerous new spots forming
an unusual circular pattern with a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. The target will switch from 1260
to 1261. There is a chance for another =>M5 event.
The position of NOAA 1261 on July 30 at 15:30 UT is:
N16E24 (Solar X = -370", Solar Y = 178")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#009 Default HESSI Target
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1260 has decayed slightly but is still classified as a
large E-type/beta-gamma sunspot group with a
possible delta configuration. 1260 will continue to produce C-class
events and an M-class event is still possible. Two
regions located to the east of 1260 (1261, N15E43 and 1263, N18E67)
have produced C-class events and could also be the source
of an M-class event.
The position of NOAA 1260 0n July 29 at 10:30 UT is:
N19E11 (Solar X = -171", Solar Y = 222")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
NOAA 1260 increased its sunspot area and spot count slightly
while maintaining a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. It continues to display dynamic bright H-alpha plage but
only managed to be the source of C-class events during the
past 24 hour period. The largest C-class event was a C5.3
at 07/28/12:12 UT. The Major Flare Watch will be in effect
for at least another 24 hour period. An event =, > M5 is
still possible.
The position of NOAA 1260 on July 28 at 10:30 UT is:
N18E24 (Solar X = -366", Solar Y = 213")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
MM#003 Major Flare Watch
Dear RHESSI Collaborators,
At this time we are implementing Max Millennium coordinated
observing plan #003 (Region Likely To Produce A Major Flare).
Target region, NOAA 1260, was the source of an M1 event
earlier today at 16:07 UT. The region has continued to
grow since the M1 event adding sunspot area, count and
magnetic complexity. It has developed a magnetically complex
Beta-gamma-delta configuration. It now has the potential
to produce an event = to or > M5.0.
The position of NOAA 1260 on July 27 at 20:30 UT is:
N20E33 (Solar X = -485", Solar Y = 252")
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Bill Marquette (Helio Research)