Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has increased significantly since the last message. An
M4.7 flare that began at 11:18 UT today in target region NOAA 13327 is
currently in progress. The region has significantly increased in size
and complexity and is now classified as having a beta-gamma-delta
configuration. The delta spot is embedded in the trailing portion of
the active region. At this time we are implementing a Major Flare
Watch campaign with NOAA 13327 as the target region due to the
increased likelihood of an >M5 flare in the next 24-48 hours.
The position of NOAA 13327 on 7-Jun-2023 at 11:30 UT is:
S14E33, ( -501", -230" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
NOAA 13327 has continued to produce mid C-level activity since the
last message, while NOAA 13323 has remained quiescent as it crosses
the central meridian. NOAA 13327 is classified as a beta/D-type
region, comprising negative polarity spots embedded in positive
polarity plage. NOAA 13327 shall be the new target region with further
C-level activity likely over the next 24 hours.
The position of NOAA 13327 on 6-Jun-2023 at 11:30 UT is:
S15E49, ( -690", -244" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity has continued at the mid C-level since the last
message, with flares from both NOAA 13323 and the new region near the
southeast limb, which is now designated as NOAA 13327. NOAA 13232
remains the larger and more complex of the two regions, and continues
to show dynamic behaviour in its trailing sunspots. It shall remain
the target region for the next 24 hours with further C-level activity
likely.
The position of NOAA 13232 on 5-Jun-2023 on 11:30 UT is:
S07E13, ( -211", -112" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Ryan Milligan (Queen's University Belfast)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low level. Target region NOAA 13323 grew
marginally in sunspot area since the last message, and remains
classified as a beta-gamma/E-type spot group. A new spot region
has recently rotated on disk over the South East limb and shows
early signs of being at least a beta/C- or D-type sunspot group.
This currently unnumbered region has produced 11 C-class flares
in the period. NOAA 13323 has also continued flaring at C-class
level with 4 events, including the largest magnitude flare in
the period - a C8.8 flare on 4-Jun-2023 at 03:32 UT. The target
will remain on NOAA 13323 due to its known and higher magnetic
complexity. Additional C-class flares are expected in the next
24s, with a chance for an M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 13323 on 4-Jun-2023 at 18:00 UT is:
S07E22 , ( -353", -111" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is low. Target region NOAA 13323 grew
further in spot area and number of spots since the last message,
now being classed as a beta-gamma/E-type spot group. NOAA 13323
remained the most flare-productive region in the period, being
the source of several C-class flares including the largest flare
in the period - a C6.3 flare on 2-Jun-2023 at 22:26 UT. Further
C-class activity is expected over the following 24-hour period,
with a chance for an isolated M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 13323 on 3-Jun-2023 at 16:00 UT is:
S07E36 , ( -555", -110" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a moderate level. Target region NOAA 13323 has
grown in number of spots and has been reclassified as a beta-gamma/
D-type spot group. This region continued being the source of C-class
flares since the last message, but the largest event in the period
was an M1.5 flare on 2-Jun-2023 at 02:32 UT from a small pore region
that is emerging flux close to central meridian. The target remains
with 13323 due to its magnetic complexity and past flaring history.
More high C-class flares are probable in the next 24 hours, with a
chance for an isolated M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 13323 on 2-Jun-2023 at 18:00 UT is:
S08E47 , ( -687", -126" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is moderate. The target region has now been
designated as NOAA 13323 and was classified as a beta/D-type spot group,
although an accurate magnetic classification was still affected by its
proximity to the limb at the start of the UT day. NOAA 13323 continued
its flaring activity since the last message, producing several C-class
flares and an M4.2 on 31-May-2023 at 22:14 UT - the largest magnitude
flare in the period. We remain with 13323 as the MM#009 Default Target,
but the magnetic complexity of this region will be monitored closely
for possible consideration of a MM#003 Major Flare Watch. Further high
C-class flares are expected over the following 24-hour period, with a
good chance of additional M-class activity.
The position of NOAA 13323 on 1-Jun-2023 at 18:00 UT is:
S05E58 , ( -801", -77" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low-to-moderate level. Target region NOAA 13315
has regained its delta spot but continued to decay in size since the
last message, being now classified as a beta-gamma/E-type spot group.
A new mature spot region is in the process of rotating over the South
East limb and has already become the most flare-productive region with
being the source of multiple C-class flares and an M1.3 on 31-May-2023
at 04:24 UT. The target will now switch to this currently unnumbered
limb region. Additional C-class activity is expected in the next 24
hours, with a good chance of further M-class flaring.
The approximate position of this region on 31-May-2023 at 21:00 UT is:
S06E90 , ( -941", -99" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
The level of solar activity is moderate. Target region NOAA 13315 has shown
further signs of decay since the last message, decreasing in spot area and
magnetic complexity to be a beta-gamma/E-type sunspot group. In the period
NOAA 13310 produced several C-class flares and two M-class flares (an M1.2
and M1.3 on 30-May-2023 at 07:54 UT and 10:15 UT, respectively) during its
approach to the South West limb. NOAA 13315 has also continued to be flare
active, being the source of C-class activity and an M1.5 on 30-May-2023 at
13:35 UT - the target remains as NOAA 13315. Further C-class flares are
expected over the following 24-hour period, with a chance for additional
low M-class flares.
The position of NOAA 13315 on 30-May-2023 at 18:00 UT is:
S16W44 , ( 632", -251" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)
Dear Collaborators,
Solar activity is at a low level. Target region NOAA 13315 has
decayed slightly since the last message, but continues to be
classified as a beta-gamma-delta/E-type sunspot group. Despite
this, NOAA 13315 remained the most flare-productive of the spot
regions, being the source of four C-class flares in the period.
Additional C-class activity is expected in the next 24 hours,
with a chance for an isolated low M-class flare.
The position of NOAA 13315 on 29-May-2023 at 16:30 UT is:
S17W31 , ( 468", -264" )
See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.
Regards,
Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University)